Mississippi State vs Ole Miss prediction, game preview, how to watch. Week 13, Thursday, November 24
Mississippi State vs Ole Miss Prediction Game Preview
Mississippi State vs Ole Miss How To Watch
Date: Thursday, November 24
Game Time: 7:00 ET
Venue: Vaught-Hemingway Stadium, Oxford, OH
How To Watch: ESPN
Record: Mississippi State (7-4), Ole Miss (8-3)
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Why Mississippi State Will Win
The Ole Miss defense fell off the map over the second half of the season.
LSU ran all over it, Texas A&M was able to throw against it, and Arkansas did whatever it wanted against Rebel front that couldn’t hold up against the run and couldn’t stop the midrange passes.
Mississippi State has hardly been perfect, and it hasn’t been able to impose its will through the air like it’s supposed to, but QB Will Rogers should get plenty of time to work, the short throws will be there, and the running game might contribute to the effort, too.
The Bulldog ground game might be the second-worst in the country yardage-wise, but the team is 5-0 when averaging at least four yards per carry.
Ole Miss allows 4.3 yards per pop, but …
Why Ole Miss Will Win
Here comes the Rebel running game.
The Mississippi State defensive front has been decent. but it’s about to deal with a backfield that rips off yards in big, giant chunks. Turnovers were the problem against Arkansas, but the offense averaged almost nine yards per carry on the way to 463 yards on the ground.
Clock control isn’t part of the plan for the Ole Miss attack, but it’ll move fast, average over five yards per carry, and it’ll make Mississippi State press a bit. That’s when the mistakes have to be forced.
Because of its style, every possession without a mistake matters for the Rebels. They’ve only turned it over more than once in three games – the Arkansas loss being one of them – and on the other side Mississippi State is 3-0 when coming up with three or more takeaways and 5-2 when generating two or more.
What’s Going To Happen
The Mississippi State defense held up reasonably well in the 31-21 loss in last year’s Egg Bowl, but it couldn’t come up with enough good third down stops. That’s about to be the problem again.
The Ole Miss running style isn’t just about coming up with big yards; it’s about setting up easy chances to move the chains.
The Ole Miss offense is great on third downs. The Mississippi State offense – stunningly, considering what it does – isn’t.
Mississippi State is 6-1 at home – the one loss coming to Georgia – and 1-3 on the road. Ole Miss is 5-1 at home – the one loss coming to Alabama – and 3-2 on the road.
The Rebels make it three in a row in the series.
Mississippi State vs Ole Miss Prediction, Line
Ole Miss 30, Mississippi State 27
Line: Ole Miss -2.5, o/u: 59.5
ATS Confidence out of 5: 3
Mississippi State vs Ole Miss Must See Rating (out of 5): 3.5
– Mississippi State at Ole Miss Expert Pick